The New Saints 1-0 FC Flora Tallinn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 30 Jul 2026

📅30/07/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.82
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.1
Over 2.5
47%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
3.77
2-3 Goals
45%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
2.94
6+ Goals
9%
9.32
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.77 — our 26% vs market 19.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
51%
+3.1pp
20%
Draw
24%
-3.8pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+0.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.4pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME The New Saints EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Flora Tallinn EU Bookmakers 29%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
2.90/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.39
-13% / +53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +86% / -24%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
375 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 73%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
21.0 Crosses 10.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME The New Saints
0W-0D-1L
AWAY FC Flora Tallinn
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
10 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 0
23.07.2026 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 1-0 HT 1-0 The New Saints The New Saints AVKL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME The New Saints
1-0
AWAY FC Flora Tallinn
22 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
6 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH The New Saints vs FC Flora Tallinn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

The New Saints nicked a narrow win over FC Flora Tallinn 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had The New Saints as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, shots finished 22-9.

What was the final score of The New Saints vs FC Flora Tallinn?

The New Saints 1-0 FC Flora Tallinn in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 30/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for The New Saints vs FC Flora Tallinn?

Before kick-off our model rated a The New Saints win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split The New Saints 54%, draw 20%, FC Flora Tallinn 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (The New Saints), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (The New Saints) ✓ Under 2.5
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