Valletta 0-4 Rakow Czestochowa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 30 Jul 2026

📅30/07/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.71
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
56%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.1
Over 2.5
48%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.75
No
54%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.84
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
2.91
6+ Goals
9%
9.06
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.84 — our 29% vs market 19.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
34%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
18%
+3.9pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.0pp
56%
Away Win
61%
-4.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.0pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valletta EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Rakow Czestochowa EU Bookmakers 66%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
313 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valletta
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Rakow Czestochowa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
7 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 12
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
23.07.2026 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 3-1 HT 0-1 Valletta Valletta AVKL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valletta
0-4
AWAY Rakow Czestochowa
7 Total Shots 10
0 Shots on Target 8
0 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Valletta vs Rakow Czestochowa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rakow Czestochowa swept aside Valletta 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Rakow Czestochowa as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, shots finished 7-10.

What was the final score of Valletta vs Rakow Czestochowa?

Valletta 0-4 Rakow Czestochowa in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 30/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valletta vs Rakow Czestochowa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rakow Czestochowa win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Valletta 22%, draw 22%, Rakow Czestochowa 56%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rakow Czestochowa), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rakow Czestochowa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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