Velez Mostar 0-3 Dunajska Streda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 30 Jul 2026

📅30/07/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.46
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
41%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.62
Over 2.5
42%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.67
2-3 Goals
37%
1.7
4-5 Goals
20%
3.88
6+ Goals
7%
18.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.67 — our 36% vs market 29.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
18%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
26%
+2.1pp
32%
Draw
28%
+3.6pp
41%
Away Win
46%
-5.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
58%
-0.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
42%
+0.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.1pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Velez Mostar EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Dunajska Streda EU Bookmakers 50%
-50% / -50% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +41% / +41%
1.00/4.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.50/0.00
-16% / -63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +65% /
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
268 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Velez Mostar
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Dunajska Streda
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
5 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.07.2026 Dunajska Streda Dunajska Streda 1-0 HT 0-0 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar AVKL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Velez Mostar
0-3
AWAY Dunajska Streda
12 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Velez Mostar vs Dunajska Streda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dunajska Streda swept aside Velez Mostar 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Dunajska Streda as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 12-11.

What was the final score of Velez Mostar vs Dunajska Streda?

Velez Mostar 0-3 Dunajska Streda in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 30/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Velez Mostar vs Dunajska Streda?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dunajska Streda win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Velez Mostar 28%, draw 32%, Dunajska Streda 41%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dunajska Streda), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dunajska Streda) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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