Midtjylland 0-2 Beşiktaş — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa League, 30 Jul 2026

📅30/07/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.05
Draw
20%
3.45
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.15
Over 2.5
61%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.55
No
40%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.17
2-3 Goals
44%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
2.86
6+ Goals
11%
8.46
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.55
1/2
7%
32.5
1/X
6%
12.25
X/1
13%
4.87
X/2
15%
7.91
X/X
8%
5.29
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
21.8
2/2
11%
5.41
2/X
6%
13.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.8 — our 10% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
45%
+2.3pp
20%
Draw
26%
-5.8pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+3.4pp
39%
Under 2.5
43%
-4.0pp
61%
Over 2.5
57%
+4.0pp
60%
BTTS Yes
60%
+0.1pp
40%
BTTS No
40%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Midtjylland EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Beşiktaş EU Bookmakers 32%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.89/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.33
+25% / +96% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / -34%
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
322 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 80%
30.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
18.8 Crosses 17.4
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Midtjylland
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Beşiktaş
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.67 xG 3.04
5 Total Shots 28
1 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 5
146 Passes 606
11 Box Touches 40
5 Crosses 28
23.07.2026 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 1-0 HT 1-0 Midtjylland Midtjylland AVL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Midtjylland
0-2
AWAY Beşiktaş
1.15 xG 2.03
16 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 1
318 Passes 327
26 Box Touches 22
23 Crosses 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Midtjylland vs Beşiktaş
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Beşiktaş got the better of Midtjylland 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Midtjylland at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 16-14, expected goals 1.15 to 2.03.

What was the final score of Midtjylland vs Beşiktaş?

Midtjylland 0-2 Beşiktaş in the UEFA Europa League on 30/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Midtjylland vs Beşiktaş?

Before kick-off our model rated a Midtjylland win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Midtjylland 47%, draw 20%, Beşiktaş 33%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Midtjylland) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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