PAOK 2-0 Dynamo Kiev — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa League, 30 Jul 2026

📅30/07/2026 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.72
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
21%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
3.84
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
2.91
6+ Goals
10%
9.11
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
55%
+3.2pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.2pp
21%
Away Win
21%
+0.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.8pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PAOK EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Dynamo Kiev EU Bookmakers 24%
-25% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +13%
1.53/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.47/1.52
-10% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +21%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
361 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 80%
31.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
20.6 Crosses 15.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PAOK
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Dynamo Kiev
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.90 xG 1.18
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 2
305 Passes 455
33 Box Touches 18
10 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 1
23.07.2026 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev 2-3 HT 1-2 PAOK PAOK AVL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PAOK
2-0
AWAY Dynamo Kiev
0.63 xG 0.53
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
251 Passes 293
24 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH PAOK vs Dynamo Kiev
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PAOK saw off Dynamo Kiev 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had PAOK as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 0.63 to 0.53.

What was the final score of PAOK vs Dynamo Kiev?

PAOK 2-0 Dynamo Kiev in the UEFA Europa League on 30/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PAOK vs Dynamo Kiev?

Before kick-off our model rated a PAOK win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split PAOK 58%, draw 21%, Dynamo Kiev 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PAOK) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PAOK) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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