Pafos 4-0 Hajduk Split — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa League, 30 Jul 2026

📅30/07/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.76
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.9
Over 2.5
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.1
2-3 Goals
37%
1.72
4-5 Goals
22%
3.39
6+ Goals
11%
13.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.1 — our 30% vs market 25.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
53%
-2.0pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.2pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+1.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+4.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-4.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.1pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pafos EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Hajduk Split EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +64% / +57%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
361 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pafos
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Hajduk Split
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
23.07.2026 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 2-0 HT 0-0 Pafos Pafos AVL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pafos
4-0
AWAY Hajduk Split
27 Total Shots 6
10 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Pafos vs Hajduk Split
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Pafos ran out comfortable winners over Hajduk Split 4-0 in the UEFA Europa League on 30 Jul 2026. Half-time: 1-0.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, shots finished 27-6.

What was the final score of Pafos vs Hajduk Split?

Pafos 4-0 Hajduk Split in the UEFA Europa League on 30/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pafos vs Hajduk Split?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pafos win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Pafos 51%, draw 25%, Hajduk Split 24%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pafos) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pafos) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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