LDU Quito 6-0 Leones del Norte — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Cup, 30 Jul 2026

📅30/07/2026 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
24%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.74
Over 2.5
42%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
60%
-7.8pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.0pp
24%
Away Win
17%
+6.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
54%
+4.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
46%
-4.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.0pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME LDU Quito EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Leones del Norte EU Bookmakers 20%
-34% / -34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-56% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
341 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME LDU Quito
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Leones del Norte
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.00 xG 1.30
50% Ball Possession 50%
18 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
336 Passes 266
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
24 Box Touches 18
27 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 2
19.07.2026 LDU Quito LDU Quito 0-1 HT 0-1 Leones del Norte Leones del Norte EKV1
18.03.2026 Leones del Norte Leones del Norte 0-2 HT 0-0 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME LDU Quito
6-0
AWAY Leones del Norte
11 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH LDU Quito vs Leones del Norte
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

LDU Quito cruised past Leones del Norte 6-0. Half-time: 5-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had LDU Quito as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 6-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 11-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for LDU Quito and 0.50 for Leones del Norte.

What was the final score of LDU Quito vs Leones del Norte?

LDU Quito 6-0 Leones del Norte in the Ecuador - Cup on 30/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for LDU Quito vs Leones del Norte?

Before kick-off our model rated a LDU Quito win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split LDU Quito 52%, draw 24%, Leones del Norte 24%. The final score 6-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (LDU Quito), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (LDU Quito) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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