Independiente Del Valle 1-0 Manta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Cup, 30 Jul 2026

📅30/07/2026 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
70%
1.22
Draw
18%
5.28
Away
12%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.21
Over 2.5
50%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.29
No
50%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
78%
-7.7pp
18%
Draw
16%
+1.9pp
12%
Away Win
7%
+5.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
40%
+10.2pp
50%
BTTS No
60%
-10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independiente Del Valle EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Manta EU Bookmakers 9%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-9% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
64% Ball Possession 36%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
469 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 200 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Independiente Del Valle
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Manta
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.24 xG 0.58
66% Ball Possession 34%
20 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 1
414 Passes 187
84% Pass Accuracy 70%
30 Box Touches 7
27 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
04.07.2026 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 4-0 HT 1-0 Manta Manta EKV1
03.03.2026 Manta Manta 0-2 HT 0-0 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
10.08.2025 Manta Manta 0-0 HT 0-0 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
20.04.2025 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 2-0 HT 2-0 Manta Manta EKV1
19.10.2021 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 1-1 HT 1-0 Manta Manta EKV1
03.05.2021 Manta Manta 2-1 HT 2-0 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Independiente Del Valle
1-0
AWAY Manta
18 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Independiente Del Valle vs Manta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente Del Valle nicked a narrow win over Manta 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Independiente Del Valle as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, shots finished 18-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente Del Valle had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Independiente Del Valle and 0.50 for Manta.

What was the final score of Independiente Del Valle vs Manta?

Independiente Del Valle 1-0 Manta in the Ecuador - Cup on 30/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Independiente Del Valle vs Manta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Del Valle win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Independiente Del Valle 70%, draw 18%, Manta 12%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente Del Valle) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Independiente Del Valle)
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