Bayern München II 1-1 Vilzing — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 30 Aug 2024

📅30/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.0
Draw
30%
3.64
Away
28%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.43
Over 2.5
47%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.46
No
52%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.8pp
30%
Draw
24%
+5.3pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-1.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
38%
+15.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
62%
-15.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
64%
-16.8pp
52%
BTTS No
36%
+16.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayern München II EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Vilzing EU Bookmakers 33%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -4%
1.99/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.77
+17% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -10%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
399 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.1 Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bayern München II
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Vilzing
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
2.40 xG 0.47
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 3
477 Passes 268
83% Pass Accuracy 75%
15 Crosses 10
4 Yellow Cards 2
08.03.2024 Bayern München II Bayern München II 2-0 HT 1-0 Vilzing Vilzing ALMBÖL
25.11.2022 Bayern München II Bayern München II 5-0 HT 2-0 Vilzing Vilzing ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bayern München II
1-1
AWAY Vilzing
68% Ball Possession 32%
17 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 1
13 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bayern München II vs Vilzing
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayern München II and Vilzing shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Bayern München II at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Bayern München II had 68% of the ball to Vilzing's 32%, shots finished 17-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Bayern München II had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Bayern München II and 0.00 for Vilzing.

What was the final score of Bayern München II vs Vilzing?

Bayern München II 1-1 Vilzing in the Germany - Regional League on 30/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayern München II vs Vilzing?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bayern München II win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Bayern München II 42%, draw 30%, Vilzing 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Bayern München II), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bayern München II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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