Austria Lustenau 1-1 Floridsdorfer AC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 30 Aug 2024

📅30/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.05
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.83
6+ Goals
9%
16.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.05 — our 29% vs market 27.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.15
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.3
X/1
15%
4.81
X/2
11%
6.33
X/X
12%
4.4
2/1
9%
27.5
2/2
14%
4.64
2/X
6%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+0.8pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.5pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+0.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.6pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Austria Lustenau EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Floridsdorfer AC EU Bookmakers 33%
-2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -3%
1.69/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.11
+10% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +39%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
260 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 74%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
20.2 Crosses 16.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Austria Lustenau
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Floridsdorfer AC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
58% Ball Possession 42%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
07.03.2022 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau 1-2 HT 1-0 Floridsdorfer AC Floridsdorfer AC AU2
13.08.2021 Floridsdorfer AC Floridsdorfer AC 3-1 HT 3-0 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau AU2
23.04.2021 Floridsdorfer AC Floridsdorfer AC 1-0 HT 0-0 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau AU2
20.11.2020 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau 2-1 HT 1-1 Floridsdorfer AC Floridsdorfer AC AU2
14.06.2020 Floridsdorfer AC Floridsdorfer AC 2-1 HT 1-0 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau AU2
24.09.2019 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau 1-1 HT 1-1 Floridsdorfer AC Floridsdorfer AC AUK
POST-MATCH Austria Lustenau vs Floridsdorfer AC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Austria Lustenau and Floridsdorfer AC couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Austria Lustenau at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Floridsdorfer AC led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Austria Lustenau and 1.67 for Floridsdorfer AC.

What was the final score of Austria Lustenau vs Floridsdorfer AC?

Austria Lustenau 1-1 Floridsdorfer AC in the Austria - 1st Division on 30/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Austria Lustenau vs Floridsdorfer AC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Austria Lustenau win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Austria Lustenau 43%, draw 26%, Floridsdorfer AC 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Austria Lustenau), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Austria Lustenau) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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