First Vienna 2-1 St. Pölten — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 30 Aug 2024

📅30/08/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
31%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.97
Over 2.5
49%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
3.68
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
24%
3.29
6+ Goals
12%
11.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.68 — our 24% vs market 21.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.08
1/2
7%
31.0
1/X
9%
12.85
X/1
13%
5.0
X/2
7%
6.42
X/X
10%
4.86
2/1
8%
25.5
2/2
18%
4.38
2/X
7%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.0pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.1pp
31%
Away Win
31%
+0.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-6.2pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME First Vienna EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Pölten EU Bookmakers 34%
-3% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -23%
1.42/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/2.60
+9% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / -22%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
286 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 74%
27.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.0
25.1 Crosses 16.0
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME First Vienna
2W-1D-3L
AWAY St. Pölten
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
05.04.2024 First Vienna First Vienna 7-3 HT 5-0 St. Pölten St. Pölten AU2
15.09.2023 St. Pölten St. Pölten 1-2 HT 0-0 First Vienna First Vienna AU2
07.04.2023 St. Pölten St. Pölten 3-1 HT 0-0 First Vienna First Vienna AU2
05.08.2022 First Vienna First Vienna 1-1 HT 1-0 St. Pölten St. Pölten AU2
10.05.2014 St. Pölten St. Pölten 1-0 HT 1-0 First Vienna First Vienna AU2
25.03.2014 First Vienna First Vienna 1-2 HT 0-2 St. Pölten St. Pölten AU2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME First Vienna
2-1
AWAY St. Pölten
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH First Vienna vs St. Pölten
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

First Vienna edged past St. Pölten 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had First Vienna as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, First Vienna had 48% of the ball to St. Pölten's 52%, shots finished 12-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Pölten led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for First Vienna and 1.83 for St. Pölten.

What was the final score of First Vienna vs St. Pölten?

First Vienna 2-1 St. Pölten in the Austria - 1st Division on 30/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for First Vienna vs St. Pölten?

Before kick-off our model rated a First Vienna win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split First Vienna 42%, draw 27%, St. Pölten 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (First Vienna), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (First Vienna) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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