Amstetten 1-2 Bregenz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 30 Aug 2024

📅30/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
36%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.1
Over 2.5
49%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.02
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
3.1
6+ Goals
10%
10.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.02 — our 27% vs market 19.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
2.78
1/2
6%
32.0
1/X
6%
13.15
X/1
17%
4.74
X/2
13%
6.96
X/X
12%
5.22
2/1
6%
23.15
2/2
17%
4.74
2/X
8%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
46%
-7.6pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.8pp
36%
Away Win
29%
+6.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.4pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amstetten EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Bregenz EU Bookmakers 32%
-12% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +29% / +29%
1.56/1.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.01/0.86
-2% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / +78%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
378 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 78%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.0 Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Amstetten
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Bregenz
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 10
4 Corners 7
24.02.2024 Bregenz Bregenz 0-1 HT 0-1 Amstetten Amstetten AU2
05.08.2023 Amstetten Amstetten 1-2 HT 0-1 Bregenz Bregenz AU2
POST-MATCH Amstetten vs Bregenz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bregenz nicked a narrow win over Amstetten 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 36% — and on the day Bregenz made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Amstetten and 1.00 for Bregenz.

What was the final score of Amstetten vs Bregenz?

Amstetten 1-2 Bregenz in the Austria - 1st Division on 30/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amstetten vs Bregenz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Amstetten win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Amstetten 38%, draw 26%, Bregenz 36%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Amstetten) ✗ Under 2.5
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