FC Liefering 2-2 Sturm Graz II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 30 Aug 2024

FC Liefering
2-2 HT 1-0
Sturm Graz II
📅30/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✓
Austria - 1st Division – 2024/2025

FC Liefering vs Sturm Graz II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.42
Draw
19%
4.81
Away
30%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
3.59
Over 2.5
61%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.43
No
50%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
8.83
2-3 Goals
36%
2.41
4-5 Goals
29%
2.36
6+ Goals
13%
3.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1.66
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
5%
17.05
X/1
20%
4.09
X/2
10%
14.1
X/X
9%
8.96
2/1
6%
17.0
2/2
16%
8.58
2/X
4%
16.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
66%
-14.6pp
19%
Draw
18%
+0.9pp
30%
Away Win
16%
+13.7pp
39%
Under 2.5
24%
+14.9pp
61%
Over 2.5
76%
-14.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
66%
-16.1pp
50%
BTTS No
34%
+16.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

FC Liefering v Sturm Graz II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Liefering EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Sturm Graz II EU Bookmakers 20%
-9% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
2.25/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/2.53
+8% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / -24%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
319 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 73%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
19.2 Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1

FC Liefering vs Sturm Graz II Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Liefering
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Sturm Graz II
2.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
2.46 xG 1.58
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
213 Passes 186
63% Pass Accuracy 59%
28 Box Touches 30
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
03.05.2024 FC Liefering FC Liefering 4-1 HT 3-0 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II AU2
21.10.2023 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II 1-1 HT 0-0 FC Liefering FC Liefering AU2
26.05.2023 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II 4-2 HT 2-1 FC Liefering FC Liefering AU2
26.08.2022 FC Liefering FC Liefering 4-2 HT 2-0 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II AU2
POST-MATCH FC Liefering vs Sturm Graz II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Liefering and Sturm Graz II couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was FC Liefering at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, FC Liefering had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.75 goals for FC Liefering and 2.00 for Sturm Graz II.

What was the final score of FC Liefering vs Sturm Graz II?

FC Liefering 2-2 Sturm Graz II in the Austria - 1st Division on 30/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Liefering vs Sturm Graz II?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Liefering win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split FC Liefering 51%, draw 19%, Sturm Graz II 30%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (FC Liefering) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Liefering) ✓ Over 2.5
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