RWDM 47 2-1 AS Eupen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 30 Aug 2024

📅30/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.25
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.91
Over 2.5
57%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.66
No
43%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.59
2-3 Goals
37%
1.81
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
3.34
6+ Goals
13%
12.2
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.34 — our 27% vs market 24.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
41%
+0.0pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.9pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+1.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
48%
-5.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
52%
+5.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.1pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RWDM 47 EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY AS Eupen EU Bookmakers 37%
+2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +11%
1.44/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.02/0.69
+12% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +77% / +150%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
344 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 76%
28.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
21.6 Crosses 19.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RWDM 47
2W-0D-2L
AWAY AS Eupen
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
1.30 xG 1.44
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
350 Passes 296
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
21 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.05.2024 AS Eupen AS Eupen 2-0 HT 0-0 RWDM 47 RWDM 47 BEL
13.04.2024 RWDM 47 RWDM 47 3-1 HT 1-1 AS Eupen AS Eupen BEL
24.01.2024 RWDM 47 RWDM 47 0-1 HT 0-0 AS Eupen AS Eupen BEL
11.11.2023 AS Eupen AS Eupen 1-3 HT 1-1 RWDM 47 RWDM 47 BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RWDM 47
2-1
AWAY AS Eupen
2.84 xG 0.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
21 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
336 Passes 256
76% Pass Accuracy 68%
41 Box Touches 17
13 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH RWDM 47 vs AS Eupen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RWDM 47 edged past AS Eupen 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had RWDM 47 as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, RWDM 47 had 54% of the ball to AS Eupen's 46%, shots finished 21-5, expected goals 2.84 to 0.50 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold RWDM 47's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for RWDM 47 and 1.25 for AS Eupen.

What was the final score of RWDM 47 vs AS Eupen?

RWDM 47 2-1 AS Eupen in the Belgium - 1st Division on 30/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RWDM 47 vs AS Eupen?

Before kick-off our model rated a RWDM 47 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split RWDM 47 41%, draw 25%, AS Eupen 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (RWDM 47), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (RWDM 47) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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