AS Eupen 2-0 RWDM 47 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
39%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.03
Over 2.5
54%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.61
No
44%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.88
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.17
6+ Goals
11%
10.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.63
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
23.15
1/X
6%
13.95
X/1
13%
6.7
X/2
17%
4.67
X/X
11%
5.29
2/1
8%
31.5
2/2
13%
2.83
2/X
6%
13.7
Value flag · 1/2 at 23.15 — our 10% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.4pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.4pp
39%
Away Win
41%
-2.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
45%
+0.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
55%
-0.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.9pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AS Eupen EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY RWDM 47 EU Bookmakers 45%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +46% / +46%
1.34/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.02/1.11
-12% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +87% / +30%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
328 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 77%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.0
18.4 Crosses 21.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AS Eupen
1W-0D-2L
AWAY RWDM 47
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.68 xG 1.29
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
308 Passes 340
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.04.2024 RWDM 47 RWDM 47 3-1 HT 1-1 AS Eupen AS Eupen BEL
24.01.2024 RWDM 47 RWDM 47 0-1 HT 0-0 AS Eupen AS Eupen BEL
11.11.2023 AS Eupen AS Eupen 1-3 HT 1-1 RWDM 47 RWDM 47 BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AS Eupen
2-0
AWAY RWDM 47
0.71 xG 1.33
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 7
262 Passes 382
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 26
8 Crosses 22
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH AS Eupen vs RWDM 47
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AS Eupen got the better of RWDM 47 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 24% / 39%) promised a tight game; AS Eupen found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, AS Eupen had 42% of the ball to RWDM 47's 58%, shots finished 12-18, expected goals 0.71 to 1.33 — on chances, RWDM 47 could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, RWDM 47 led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for AS Eupen and 2.00 for RWDM 47.

What was the final score of AS Eupen vs RWDM 47?

AS Eupen 2-0 RWDM 47 in the Belgium - Pro League on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AS Eupen vs RWDM 47?

Before kick-off our model rated an RWDM 47 win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split AS Eupen 37%, draw 24%, RWDM 47 39%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (RWDM 47) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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