Rakow Czestochowa 0-1 Piast Gliwice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 30 Aug 2024

📅30/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.92
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.51
Over 2.5
38%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.13
No
59%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.26
2-3 Goals
35%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
5.41
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.79
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.1
X/1
14%
4.06
X/2
11%
7.44
X/X
18%
3.74
2/1
6%
31.5
2/2
10%
6.5
2/X
5%
15.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
48%
-5.5pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.0pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.4pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.6pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
43%
-1.6pp
59%
BTTS No
57%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rakow Czestochowa EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Piast Gliwice EU Bookmakers 27%
-9% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +19%
1.10/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.32
-22% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +28%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
347 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 76%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
17.7 Crosses 16.1
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rakow Czestochowa
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Piast Gliwice
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.10 xG 1.34
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
392 Passes 274
80% Pass Accuracy 72%
20 Box Touches 17
15 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.02.2024 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 3-0 HT 1-0 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POLK
17.02.2024 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 3-1 HT 0-0 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
11.08.2023 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 2-1 HT 0-0 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL
04.02.2023 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 1-0 HT 1-0 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
06.10.2022 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 0-1 HT 0-0 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL
10.12.2021 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 1-0 HT 0-0 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rakow Czestochowa
0-1
AWAY Piast Gliwice
0.16 xG 1.69
54% Ball Possession 46%
5 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
300 Passes 241
75% Pass Accuracy 70%
14 Box Touches 10
11 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rakow Czestochowa vs Piast Gliwice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Piast Gliwice edged past Rakow Czestochowa 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Rakow Czestochowa at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Rakow Czestochowa had 54% of the ball to Piast Gliwice's 46%, shots finished 5-12, expected goals 0.16 to 1.69 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Piast Gliwice's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rakow Czestochowa had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Rakow Czestochowa and 1.00 for Piast Gliwice.

What was the final score of Rakow Czestochowa vs Piast Gliwice?

Rakow Czestochowa 0-1 Piast Gliwice in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 30/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rakow Czestochowa vs Piast Gliwice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rakow Czestochowa win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Rakow Czestochowa 43%, draw 31%, Piast Gliwice 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Rakow Czestochowa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rakow Czestochowa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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