Karvina 4-1 Teplice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 30 Aug 2025

📅30/08/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.97
Over 2.5
45%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.68
No
53%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.4
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
3.13
6+ Goals
10%
11.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.4 — our 32% vs market 22.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
47%
-1.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.0pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+2.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
47%
+8.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
53%
-8.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.8pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karvina EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Teplice EU Bookmakers 31%
-5% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -4%
1.20/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/0.87
-18% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +13%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
382 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 75%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.7
19.1 Crosses 22.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karvina
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Teplice
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.64 xG 1.64
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
260 Passes 263
73% Pass Accuracy 72%
17 Box Touches 26
12 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
01.02.2025 Karvina Karvina 1-1 HT 1-1 Teplice Teplice ÇEK
24.08.2024 Teplice Teplice 1-3 HT 0-1 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
24.02.2024 Teplice Teplice 2-2 HT 0-1 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
16.09.2023 Karvina Karvina 0-1 HT 0-0 Teplice Teplice ÇEK
10.05.2022 Karvina Karvina 2-2 HT 1-1 Teplice Teplice ÇEK
20.02.2022 Teplice Teplice 1-0 HT 1-0 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Karvina
4-1
AWAY Teplice
2.34 xG 0.64
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 4
342 Passes 231
79% Pass Accuracy 73%
20 Box Touches 19
4 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Karvina vs Teplice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karvina ran out comfortable winners over Teplice 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Karvina as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Karvina had 57% of the ball to Teplice's 43%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 2.34 to 0.64.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Teplice led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Karvina and 1.33 for Teplice.

What was the final score of Karvina vs Teplice?

Karvina 4-1 Teplice in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karvina vs Teplice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Karvina win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Karvina 46%, draw 25%, Teplice 30%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Karvina) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Karvina) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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