AFC Hornchurch 3-0 Chippenham Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 30 Aug 2025

📅30/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
20%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.88
No
45%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.22
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
23%
3.25
6+ Goals
10%
12.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
15%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
60%
-2.3pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.6pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+2.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.8pp
45%
BTTS No
51%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Hornchurch EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Chippenham Town EU Bookmakers 21%
+29% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +6%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.45
+8% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +21%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
375 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Hornchurch
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Chippenham Town
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 8
0 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
26.04.2025 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town 0-4 HT 0-2 AFC Hornchurch AFC Hornchurch İCON
21.12.2024 AFC Hornchurch AFC Hornchurch 1-2 HT 1-0 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Hornchurch
3-0
AWAY Chippenham Town
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH AFC Hornchurch vs Chippenham Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Hornchurch ran out comfortable winners over Chippenham Town 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had AFC Hornchurch as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, AFC Hornchurch had 47% of the ball to Chippenham Town's 53%, shots finished 14-9.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for AFC Hornchurch and 1.00 for Chippenham Town.

What was the final score of AFC Hornchurch vs Chippenham Town?

AFC Hornchurch 3-0 Chippenham Town in the England - Conference on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Hornchurch vs Chippenham Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Hornchurch win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split AFC Hornchurch 57%, draw 22%, Chippenham Town 20%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AFC Hornchurch), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AFC Hornchurch) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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