Tonbridge Angels 3-3 Farnborough — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 30 Aug 2025

📅30/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.5
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
47%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2.98
2-3 Goals
46%
1.71
4-5 Goals
22%
3.47
6+ Goals
8%
14.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
5%
X/2
21%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
25%
-0.2pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.5pp
47%
Away Win
49%
-2.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.9pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tonbridge Angels EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Farnborough EU Bookmakers 54%
-7% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
0.93/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.95/1.79
-23% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -36%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
225 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tonbridge Angels
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Farnborough
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 22
5 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 1
05.04.2025 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels 1-4 HT 0-2 Farnborough Farnborough İCON
26.08.2024 Farnborough Farnborough 0-2 HT 0-1 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels İCON
01.04.2024 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels 1-2 HT 1-0 Farnborough Farnborough İCON
24.10.2023 Farnborough Farnborough 4-1 HT 2-0 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels İCON
25.04.2023 Farnborough Farnborough 1-2 HT 0-0 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels İCON
13.09.2022 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels 2-1 HT 2-0 Farnborough Farnborough İCON
POST-MATCH Tonbridge Angels vs Farnborough
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tonbridge Angels and Farnborough couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Farnborough at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Tonbridge Angels and 2.00 for Farnborough.

What was the final score of Tonbridge Angels vs Farnborough?

Tonbridge Angels 3-3 Farnborough in the England - Conference on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tonbridge Angels vs Farnborough?

Before kick-off our model rated an Farnborough win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Tonbridge Angels 25%, draw 28%, Farnborough 47%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Farnborough), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Farnborough) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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