Chippenham Town 0-4 AFC Hornchurch — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
39%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.97
Over 2.5
47%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.52
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.17
6+ Goals
11%
11.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.52 — our 28% vs market 22.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
36%
-3.2pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.9pp
39%
Away Win
38%
+1.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
47%
+6.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
53%
-6.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.9pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chippenham Town EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Hornchurch EU Bookmakers 42%
+1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.23/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.97/1.55
-7% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -16%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
289 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chippenham Town
1W-0D-0L
AWAY AFC Hornchurch
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 5
11 Shots on Target 2
14 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 3
21.12.2024 AFC Hornchurch AFC Hornchurch 1-2 HT 1-0 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chippenham Town
0-4
AWAY AFC Hornchurch
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Chippenham Town vs AFC Hornchurch
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Hornchurch cruised past Chippenham Town 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 28% / 39% — and on the day AFC Hornchurch made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Chippenham Town had 60% of the ball to AFC Hornchurch's 40%, shots finished 16-10.

What was the final score of Chippenham Town vs AFC Hornchurch?

Chippenham Town 0-4 AFC Hornchurch in the England - Conference on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chippenham Town vs AFC Hornchurch?

Before kick-off our model rated an AFC Hornchurch win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Chippenham Town 33%, draw 28%, AFC Hornchurch 39%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AFC Hornchurch) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AFC Hornchurch) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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