Eastbourne Borough 3-0 Weston-super-Mare — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.61
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.65
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.09
6+ Goals
10%
10.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.65 — our 28% vs market 21.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
58%
-7.9pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.1pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+6.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.8pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eastbourne Borough EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Weston-super-Mare EU Bookmakers 23%
+9% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +2%
2.21/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.65
+19% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -3%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
419 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eastbourne Borough
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Weston-super-Mare
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 2
21.12.2024 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare 0-1 HT 0-1 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough İCON
16.04.2024 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare 1-1 HT 0-1 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough İCON
02.09.2023 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough 2-1 HT 1-0 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare İCON
03.02.2015 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare 2-2 HT 1-0 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eastbourne Borough
3-0
AWAY Weston-super-Mare
75% Ball Possession 25%
24 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Eastbourne Borough vs Weston-super-Mare
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eastbourne Borough cruised past Weston-super-Mare 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Eastbourne Borough as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Eastbourne Borough had 75% of the ball to Weston-super-Mare's 25%, shots finished 24-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Eastbourne Borough had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Eastbourne Borough and 1.00 for Weston-super-Mare.

What was the final score of Eastbourne Borough vs Weston-super-Mare?

Eastbourne Borough 3-0 Weston-super-Mare in the England - Conference on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eastbourne Borough vs Weston-super-Mare?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eastbourne Borough win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Eastbourne Borough 50%, draw 23%, Weston-super-Mare 27%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Eastbourne Borough), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Eastbourne Borough) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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