Truro City 5-2 St. Albans City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.47
Draw
29%
4.19
Away
24%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
2.15
Over 2.5
41%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.81
No
57%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.97
2-3 Goals
39%
1.83
4-5 Goals
20%
2.93
6+ Goals
8%
8.98
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.97 — our 33% vs market 19.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
12%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
64%
-16.6pp
29%
Draw
21%
+8.3pp
24%
Away Win
16%
+8.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
43%
+16.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
57%
-16.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.9pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Truro City EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Albans City EU Bookmakers 19%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +3%
1.66/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.61
-11% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
375 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Truro City
3W-0D-0L
AWAY St. Albans City
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.12.2024 St. Albans City St. Albans City 1-2 HT 0-0 Truro City Truro City İCON
16.03.2024 St. Albans City St. Albans City 1-2 HT 0-0 Truro City Truro City İCON
02.12.2023 Truro City Truro City 3-1 HT 1-0 St. Albans City St. Albans City İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Truro City
5-2
AWAY St. Albans City
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Truro City vs St. Albans City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Truro City swept aside St. Albans City 5-2. Half-time: 4-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Truro City as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Truro City had 47% of the ball to St. Albans City's 53%, shots finished 11-9.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Truro City had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Truro City and 1.00 for St. Albans City.

What was the final score of Truro City vs St. Albans City?

Truro City 5-2 St. Albans City in the England - Conference on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Truro City vs St. Albans City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Truro City win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Truro City 47%, draw 29%, St. Albans City 24%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Truro City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Truro City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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