Farnborough 2-2 Maidstone United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.68
No
53%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.32
2-3 Goals
36%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
3.31
6+ Goals
9%
12.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.32 — our 32% vs market 23.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
39%
-2.7pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.8pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+0.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.4pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Farnborough EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Maidstone United EU Bookmakers 38%
-1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -2%
1.31/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.15
-7% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +14%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
351 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Farnborough
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Maidstone United
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.12.2024 Maidstone United Maidstone United 4-0 HT 2-0 Farnborough Farnborough İCON
06.04.2024 Farnborough Farnborough 0-1 HT 0-0 Maidstone United Maidstone United İCON
21.10.2023 Maidstone United Maidstone United 1-1 HT 0-0 Farnborough Farnborough İCON
POST-MATCH Farnborough vs Maidstone United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Farnborough and Maidstone United shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Maidstone United led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Farnborough and 2.00 for Maidstone United.

What was the final score of Farnborough vs Maidstone United?

Farnborough 2-2 Maidstone United in the England - Conference on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Farnborough vs Maidstone United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Farnborough win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Farnborough 36%, draw 28%, Maidstone United 35%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Farnborough) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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