Spennymoor Town 1-0 Oxford City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.45
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
23%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.29
Over 2.5
59%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.39
2-3 Goals
39%
1.87
4-5 Goals
28%
2.78
6+ Goals
10%
7.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
65%
-10.8pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.4pp
23%
Away Win
15%
+8.4pp
41%
Under 2.5
40%
+0.9pp
59%
Over 2.5
60%
-0.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.3pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spennymoor Town EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Oxford City EU Bookmakers 18%
+9% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +10%
2.49/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.28
+35% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +38%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
337 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spennymoor Town
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Oxford City
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
5 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 0
21.12.2024 Oxford City Oxford City 3-0 HT 2-0 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spennymoor Town
1-0
AWAY Oxford City
54% Ball Possession 46%
7 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Spennymoor Town vs Oxford City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spennymoor Town edged past Oxford City 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Spennymoor Town as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Spennymoor Town had 54% of the ball to Oxford City's 46%, shots finished 7-8.

What was the final score of Spennymoor Town vs Oxford City?

Spennymoor Town 1-0 Oxford City in the England - Conference on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spennymoor Town vs Oxford City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spennymoor Town win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Spennymoor Town 54%, draw 23%, Oxford City 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spennymoor Town), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Spennymoor Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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