Oxford City 3-0 Spennymoor Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 21 Dec 2024

📅21/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.17
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
46%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.95
Over 2.5
47%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.68
No
53%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.39
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.19
6+ Goals
9%
11.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.39 — our 28% vs market 22.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
20%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
28%
+1.4pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.4pp
46%
Away Win
45%
+1.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.5pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oxford City EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Spennymoor Town EU Bookmakers 49%
+3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -10%
1.55/1.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.24
+21% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -2%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
308 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oxford City
3-0
AWAY Spennymoor Town
58% Ball Possession 42%
8 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Oxford City vs Spennymoor Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oxford City ran out comfortable winners over Spennymoor Town 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Spennymoor Town at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Oxford City had 58% of the ball to Spennymoor Town's 42%, shots finished 8-5.

What was the final score of Oxford City vs Spennymoor Town?

Oxford City 3-0 Spennymoor Town in the England - Conference on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oxford City vs Spennymoor Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Spennymoor Town win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Oxford City 29%, draw 25%, Spennymoor Town 46%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Spennymoor Town), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Spennymoor Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İCON More England - Conference
21 Dec 2024
18:00 Needham Market vs Darlington 1883 Analysis →
18:00 Torquay United vs Hemel Hempstead Town Analysis →
18:00 Weston-super-Mare vs Eastbourne Borough Analysis →
18:00 Salisbury vs Welling United Analysis →
18:00 Hampton & Richmond vs Slough Town Analysis →
18:00 AFC Hornchurch vs Chippenham Town Analysis →