Radcliffe Borough 1-1 Alfreton Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
38%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.59
2-3 Goals
37%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.12
6+ Goals
12%
10.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.59 — our 29% vs market 21.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
38%
-0.9pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.5pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.1pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Radcliffe Borough EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Alfreton Town EU Bookmakers 40%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -9%
1.93/1.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.34
+38% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
365 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Radcliffe Borough
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Alfreton Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
21.12.2024 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town 2-1 HT 1-0 Radcliffe Borough Radcliffe Borough İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radcliffe Borough
1-1
AWAY Alfreton Town
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Radcliffe Borough vs Alfreton Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Radcliffe Borough and Alfreton Town couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 25% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Radcliffe Borough had 53% of the ball to Alfreton Town's 47%, shots finished 9-10.

What was the final score of Radcliffe Borough vs Alfreton Town?

Radcliffe Borough 1-1 Alfreton Town in the England - Conference on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Radcliffe Borough vs Alfreton Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Radcliffe Borough win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Radcliffe Borough 37%, draw 25%, Alfreton Town 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/25/37) ✓ Under 2.5
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