Maidstone United 4-0 Farnborough — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 21 Dec 2024

📅21/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.86
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
24%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.0
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals
23%
3.51
6+ Goals
9%
14.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
50%
-5.3pp
31%
Draw
26%
+5.6pp
24%
Away Win
24%
-0.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.8pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maidstone United EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Farnborough EU Bookmakers 28%
-1% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.54/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.76
-7% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -16%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
335 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maidstone United
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Farnborough
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 3
06.04.2024 Farnborough Farnborough 0-1 HT 0-0 Maidstone United Maidstone United İCON
21.10.2023 Maidstone United Maidstone United 1-1 HT 0-0 Farnborough Farnborough İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maidstone United
4-0
AWAY Farnborough
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Maidstone United vs Farnborough
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maidstone United swept aside Farnborough 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Maidstone United as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Maidstone United had 50% of the ball to Farnborough's 50%, shots finished 11-8.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Maidstone United had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Maidstone United and 0.50 for Farnborough.

What was the final score of Maidstone United vs Farnborough?

Maidstone United 4-0 Farnborough in the England - Conference on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maidstone United vs Farnborough?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maidstone United win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Maidstone United 45%, draw 31%, Farnborough 24%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maidstone United) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Maidstone United) ✗ Under 2.5
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