Inverness CT 1-0 Alloa Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 30 Aug 2025

📅30/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.43
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
22%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.21
Over 2.5
51%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
4.16
2-3 Goals
37%
1.82
4-5 Goals
25%
2.76
6+ Goals
10%
7.87
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
13%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
66%
-10.2pp
23%
Draw
20%
+3.2pp
22%
Away Win
15%
+7.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.2pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inverness CT EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Alloa Athletic EU Bookmakers 18%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +27%
0.93/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/1.85
-52% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +73% / -3%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
155 · 93% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 124 · 91%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
3.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inverness CT
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Alloa Athletic
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 2
22.03.2025 Inverness CT Inverness CT 1-1 HT 1-0 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
25.01.2025 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 1-2 HT 0-1 Inverness CT Inverness CT İK1
16.11.2024 Inverness CT Inverness CT 1-0 HT 0-0 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
14.09.2024 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 2-2 HT 0-1 Inverness CT Inverness CT İK1
06.03.2021 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 1-1 HT 1-1 Inverness CT Inverness CT İKCL
23.02.2021 Inverness CT Inverness CT 2-2 HT 0-1 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İKCL
POST-MATCH Inverness CT vs Alloa Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inverness CT edged past Alloa Athletic 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Inverness CT as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inverness CT had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Inverness CT and 1.17 for Alloa Athletic.

What was the final score of Inverness CT vs Alloa Athletic?

Inverness CT 1-0 Alloa Athletic in the Scotland - 1st Division on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inverness CT vs Alloa Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Inverness CT win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Inverness CT 55%, draw 23%, Alloa Athletic 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inverness CT) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Inverness CT) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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