Bradford City 3-2 AFC Wimbledon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 30 Aug 2025

📅30/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.82
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
23%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.6
Over 2.5
45%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.06
No
48%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.38
2-3 Goals
40%
1.7
4-5 Goals
21%
4.36
6+ Goals
8%
23.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.51
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.6
X/1
17%
4.11
X/2
7%
8.1
X/X
17%
4.11
2/1
8%
28.0
2/2
10%
7.03
2/X
9%
16.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
51%
-4.3pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.2pp
23%
Away Win
23%
+0.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
44%
+7.8pp
48%
BTTS No
56%
-7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bradford City EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Wimbledon EU Bookmakers 26%
-3% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +8%
1.32/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.23
-17% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
299 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 66%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
35.0 Crosses 17.3
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bradford City
1W-4D-1L
AWAY AFC Wimbledon
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.69 xG 0.87
55% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
241 Passes 176
64% Pass Accuracy 57%
19 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.02.2025 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 1-0 HT 1-0 Bradford City Bradford City İN2
21.09.2024 Bradford City Bradford City 0-0 HT 0-0 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon İN2
03.02.2024 Bradford City Bradford City 0-0 HT 0-0 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon İN2
14.10.2023 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 0-1 HT 0-0 Bradford City Bradford City İN2
14.01.2023 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 0-0 HT 0-0 Bradford City Bradford City İN2
24.09.2022 Bradford City Bradford City 2-2 HT 1-0 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bradford City
3-2
AWAY AFC Wimbledon
2.85 xG 1.18
45% Ball Possession 55%
16 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
199 Passes 264
60% Pass Accuracy 67%
22 Box Touches 17
12 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bradford City vs AFC Wimbledon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bradford City squeezed past AFC Wimbledon 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bradford City as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bradford City had 45% of the ball to AFC Wimbledon's 55%, shots finished 16-13, expected goals 2.85 to 1.18 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Bradford City's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Bradford City and 0.50 for AFC Wimbledon.

What was the final score of Bradford City vs AFC Wimbledon?

Bradford City 3-2 AFC Wimbledon in the England - 1st Division on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bradford City vs AFC Wimbledon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bradford City win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Bradford City 46%, draw 31%, AFC Wimbledon 23%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bradford City), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bradford City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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