Cardiff City vs Plymouth Argyle Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cardiff City v Plymouth Argyle — Team-Based Signals
Cardiff City vs Plymouth Argyle Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-1
Plymouth Argyle
İNCL
0-1
HT 0-0
Cardiff City
HAZ
0-1
HT 0-0
Plymouth Argyle
İNCL
Cardiff City 4-0 Plymouth Argyle — Actual Match Statistics
Cardiff City ran out comfortable winners over Plymouth Argyle 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cardiff City as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Cardiff City had 55% of the ball to Plymouth Argyle's 45%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 1.52 to 0.37.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Cardiff City and 1.17 for Plymouth Argyle.
What was the final score of Cardiff City vs Plymouth Argyle?
Cardiff City 4-0 Plymouth Argyle in the England - 1st Division on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cardiff City vs Plymouth Argyle?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cardiff City win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Cardiff City 60%, draw 22%, Plymouth Argyle 18%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cardiff City) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.