Doncaster Rovers 1-0 Rotherham United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 30 Aug 2025

📅30/08/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.72
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
23%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.75
Over 2.5
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
2.77
2-3 Goals
42%
1.7
4-5 Goals
19%
3.71
6+ Goals
10%
16.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.77 — our 29% vs market 28.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
2.22
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
8%
15.15
X/1
12%
3.98
X/2
11%
9.07
X/X
9%
4.78
2/1
7%
24.5
2/2
7%
7.71
2/X
7%
16.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
55%
-1.0pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.2pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+2.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.7pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Doncaster Rovers EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Rotherham United EU Bookmakers 23%
+4% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -9%
1.93/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.30
+4% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -55% / +53%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
297 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 222 · 65%
29.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
21.3 Crosses 18.5
0.7 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Doncaster Rovers
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Rotherham United
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
0.85 xG 1.84
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
257 Passes 227
68% Pass Accuracy 68%
14 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
03.08.2024 Rotherham United Rotherham United 0-0 HT 0-0 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers HAZ
01.02.2022 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 0-5 HT 0-2 Rotherham United Rotherham United İN1
07.09.2021 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 0-6 HT 0-3 Rotherham United Rotherham United İNTK
28.08.2021 Rotherham United Rotherham United 2-0 HT 2-0 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN1
08.10.2019 Rotherham United Rotherham United 3-2 HT 1-1 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İNTK
07.09.2019 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 2-1 HT 0-1 Rotherham United Rotherham United İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Doncaster Rovers
1-0
AWAY Rotherham United
1.03 xG 0.69
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 6
306 Passes 175
76% Pass Accuracy 61%
17 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Doncaster Rovers vs Rotherham United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Doncaster Rovers nicked a narrow win over Rotherham United 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Doncaster Rovers as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Doncaster Rovers had 58% of the ball to Rotherham United's 42%, shots finished 13-16, expected goals 1.03 to 0.69.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rotherham United led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Doncaster Rovers and 2.83 for Rotherham United.

What was the final score of Doncaster Rovers vs Rotherham United?

Doncaster Rovers 1-0 Rotherham United in the England - 1st Division on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Doncaster Rovers vs Rotherham United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Doncaster Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Doncaster Rovers 54%, draw 24%, Rotherham United 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Doncaster Rovers), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Doncaster Rovers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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