Exeter City vs Peterborough United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Exeter City v Peterborough United — Team-Based Signals
Exeter City vs Peterborough United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 2-0
Exeter City
İN1
3-2
HT 1-1
Peterborough United
İN1
Exeter City 3-0 Peterborough United — Actual Match Statistics
Exeter City cruised past Peterborough United 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Exeter City as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Exeter City had 46% of the ball to Peterborough United's 54%, shots finished 12-6, expected goals 0.78 to 0.20.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Peterborough United led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Exeter City and 1.83 for Peterborough United.
What was the final score of Exeter City vs Peterborough United?
Exeter City 3-0 Peterborough United in the England - 1st Division on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Exeter City vs Peterborough United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Exeter City win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Exeter City 45%, draw 23%, Peterborough United 31%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Exeter City) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.