Plymouth Argyle 1-1 Cardiff City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.47
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
32%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.64
Over 2.5
53%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.88
No
46%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2.59
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
4.22
6+ Goals
13%
21.45
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 4.22 — our 25% vs market 17.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.89
1/2
8%
32.5
1/X
6%
13.55
X/1
14%
5.45
X/2
14%
5.57
X/X
14%
4.07
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
31.5
2/2
10%
4.01
2/X
9%
13.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 31.5 — our 9% vs market 1.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+2.3pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.6pp
32%
Away Win
34%
-2.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
57%
-10.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
43%
+10.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.7pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Plymouth Argyle EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Cardiff City EU Bookmakers 38%
+0% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -4%
0.96/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.35
+19% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -19%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
290 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 71%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
17.2 Crosses 17.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Plymouth Argyle
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Cardiff City
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.47 xG 1.17
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
373 Passes 418
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
30 Box Touches 14
12 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
19.10.2024 Cardiff City Cardiff City 5-0 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İNCL
20.01.2024 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 3-1 HT 1-1 Cardiff City Cardiff City İNCL
26.12.2023 Cardiff City Cardiff City 2-2 HT 1-1 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İNCL
21.07.2017 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 0-1 HT 0-0 Cardiff City Cardiff City HAZ
26.12.2009 Cardiff City Cardiff City 0-1 HT 0-0 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İNCL
18.08.2009 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 1-3 HT 0-1 Cardiff City Cardiff City İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Plymouth Argyle
1-1
AWAY Cardiff City
0.98 xG 1.18
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 6
281 Passes 166
72% Pass Accuracy 61%
27 Box Touches 12
13 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Plymouth Argyle vs Cardiff City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Plymouth Argyle and Cardiff City shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Plymouth Argyle had 59% of the ball to Cardiff City's 41%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 0.98 to 1.18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cardiff City led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Plymouth Argyle and 2.00 for Cardiff City.

What was the final score of Plymouth Argyle vs Cardiff City?

Plymouth Argyle 1-1 Cardiff City in the England - Championship on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Plymouth Argyle vs Cardiff City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Plymouth Argyle win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Plymouth Argyle 39%, draw 29%, Cardiff City 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Plymouth Argyle), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Plymouth Argyle) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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