Cardiff City 5-0 Plymouth Argyle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 19 Oct 2024

Cardiff City
5-0
Plymouth Argyle
📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - Championship – 2024/2025

Cardiff City vs Plymouth Argyle Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.96
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.15
Over 2.5
50%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.56
No
50%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.31
2-3 Goals
39%
1.88
4-5 Goals
23%
2.98
6+ Goals
11%
9.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.31 — our 27% vs market 18.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.64
1/2
7%
33.0
1/X
9%
12.75
X/1
16%
4.74
X/2
16%
7.49
X/X
9%
5.27
2/1
10%
22.7
2/2
8%
5.02
2/X
6%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
47%
-1.4pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.2pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+3.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
43%
+7.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
57%
-7.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.0pp
50%
BTTS No
40%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cardiff City v Plymouth Argyle — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cardiff City EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Plymouth Argyle EU Bookmakers 31%
-1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -3%
1.40/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.56
-6% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +28%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
292 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 75%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
20.6 Crosses 12.5
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0

Cardiff City vs Plymouth Argyle Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cardiff City
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Plymouth Argyle
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.17 xG 1.47
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
390 Passes 372
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 30
20 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.01.2024 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 3-1 HT 1-1 Cardiff City Cardiff City İNCL
26.12.2023 Cardiff City Cardiff City 2-2 HT 1-1 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İNCL
21.07.2017 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 0-1 HT 0-0 Cardiff City Cardiff City HAZ
26.12.2009 Cardiff City Cardiff City 0-1 HT 0-0 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İNCL
18.08.2009 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 1-3 HT 0-1 Cardiff City Cardiff City İNCL
28.12.2008 Cardiff City Cardiff City 1-0 HT 0-0 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İNCL

Cardiff City 5-0 Plymouth Argyle — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cardiff City
5-0
AWAY Plymouth Argyle
55% Ball Possession 45%
25 Total Shots 6
11 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 1
474 Passes 375
91% Pass Accuracy 86%
POST-MATCH Cardiff City vs Plymouth Argyle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cardiff City swept aside Plymouth Argyle 5-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cardiff City as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Cardiff City had 55% of the ball to Plymouth Argyle's 45%, shots finished 25-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cardiff City had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Cardiff City and 1.17 for Plymouth Argyle.

What was the final score of Cardiff City vs Plymouth Argyle?

Cardiff City 5-0 Plymouth Argyle in the England - Championship on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cardiff City vs Plymouth Argyle?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cardiff City win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Cardiff City 46%, draw 23%, Plymouth Argyle 31%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cardiff City) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cardiff City)
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