Stoke City 1-1 Norwich City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 19 Oct 2024

Stoke City
1-1
Norwich City
📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
England - Championship – 2024/2025

Stoke City vs Norwich City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.38
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
32%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.03
Over 2.5
47%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.88
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
22%
3.17
6+ Goals
9%
10.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.88 — our 29% vs market 20.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.57
1/2
6%
27.0
1/X
7%
12.8
X/1
17%
5.6
X/2
10%
5.68
X/X
9%
4.99
2/1
9%
26.5
2/2
16%
3.64
2/X
10%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
38%
+4.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.5pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-3.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
45%
+7.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
55%
-7.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.3pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Stoke City v Norwich City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stoke City EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Norwich City EU Bookmakers 40%
-13% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -1%
1.24/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.32
-28% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -2%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
279 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 80%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
22.6 Crosses 15.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9

Stoke City vs Norwich City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stoke City
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Norwich City
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.36 xG 1.79
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
324 Passes 310
75% Pass Accuracy 72%
29 Box Touches 22
26 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.03.2024 Stoke City Stoke City 0-3 HT 0-2 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
16.09.2023 Norwich City Norwich City 1-0 HT 1-0 Stoke City Stoke City İNCL
18.03.2023 Stoke City Stoke City 0-0 HT 0-0 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
29.10.2022 Norwich City Norwich City 3-1 HT 1-0 Stoke City Stoke City İNCL
13.02.2021 Norwich City Norwich City 4-1 HT 2-0 Stoke City Stoke City İNCL
24.11.2020 Stoke City Stoke City 2-3 HT 0-2 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL

Stoke City 1-1 Norwich City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stoke City
1-1
AWAY Norwich City
39% Ball Possession 61%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 7
261 Passes 469
78% Pass Accuracy 86%
POST-MATCH Stoke City vs Norwich City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stoke City and Norwich City shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Stoke City at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Stoke City had 39% of the ball to Norwich City's 61%, shots finished 14-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Norwich City led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Stoke City and 2.33 for Norwich City.

What was the final score of Stoke City vs Norwich City?

Stoke City 1-1 Norwich City in the England - Championship on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stoke City vs Norwich City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stoke City win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Stoke City 42%, draw 26%, Norwich City 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Stoke City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stoke City) ✓ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNCL More England - Championship
19 Oct 2024
00:00 Oxford United vs West Bromwich Analysis →
00:00 Preston North End vs Coventry Analysis →
00:00 Cardiff City vs Plymouth Argyle Analysis →
00:00 Queens Park Rangers vs Portsmouth Analysis →
00:00 Millwall vs Derby County Analysis →
14:30 Luton Town vs Watford Analysis →