Oxford United 1-1 West Bromwich — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.32
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
39%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.74
Over 2.5
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.88
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.06
6+ Goals
9%
19.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.88 — our 31% vs market 28.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
5.7
1/2
9%
26.5
1/X
10%
14.6
X/1
9%
7.25
X/2
16%
4.29
X/X
12%
4.39
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
13%
2.74
2/X
5%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
27%
+7.8pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.0pp
39%
Away Win
46%
-7.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
+0.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
-0.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.1pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oxford United EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY West Bromwich EU Bookmakers 50%
+40% / +40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -13%
0.73/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.12
-9% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +4%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
274 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 75%
19.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
12.3 Crosses 19.5
0.7 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oxford United
0W-1D-0L
AWAY West Bromwich
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 23
8 Shots on Target 13
4 Corners 8
26.08.2014 West Bromwich West Bromwich 1-1 HT 1-0 Oxford United Oxford United İNLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oxford United
1-1
AWAY West Bromwich
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 8
397 Passes 381
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
POST-MATCH Oxford United vs West Bromwich
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oxford United and West Bromwich shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (34% / 27% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Oxford United had 51% of the ball to West Bromwich's 49%, shots finished 12-14.

What was the final score of Oxford United vs West Bromwich?

Oxford United 1-1 West Bromwich in the England - Championship on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oxford United vs West Bromwich?

Before kick-off our model rated an West Bromwich win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Oxford United 34%, draw 27%, West Bromwich 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (West Bromwich), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (West Bromwich) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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