Queens Park Rangers 1-2 Portsmouth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 19 Oct 2024

Queens Park Rangers
1-2
Portsmouth
📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
England - Championship – 2024/2025

Queens Park Rangers vs Portsmouth Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
24%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.3
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.58
6+ Goals
10%
14.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.3 — our 27% vs market 24.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.47
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.95
X/1
18%
4.21
X/2
8%
8.12
X/X
12%
4.78
2/1
7%
24.45
2/2
9%
6.19
2/X
8%
14.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
50%
-0.6pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
24%
Away Win
24%
-0.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.9pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Queens Park Rangers v Portsmouth — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Queens Park Rangers EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Portsmouth EU Bookmakers 28%
-4% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -18%
1.32/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/2.52
-6% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -72%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
382 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 69%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
23.4 Crosses 12.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.0

Queens Park Rangers vs Portsmouth Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Queens Park Rangers
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Portsmouth
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.04 xG 1.99
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
379 Passes 242
75% Pass Accuracy 69%
22 Box Touches 11
12 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
28.08.2019 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 0-2 HT 0-0 Portsmouth Portsmouth İNLK
05.02.2019 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 2-0 HT 0-0 Portsmouth Portsmouth FAK
26.01.2019 Portsmouth Portsmouth 1-1 HT 0-0 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers FAK
01.02.2011 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 2-0 HT 0-0 Portsmouth Portsmouth İNCL
09.11.2010 Portsmouth Portsmouth 1-1 HT 0-0 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers İNCL
14.04.2001 Portsmouth Portsmouth 1-1 HT 1-0 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers İNCL

Queens Park Rangers 1-2 Portsmouth — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Queens Park Rangers
1-2
AWAY Portsmouth
65% Ball Possession 35%
15 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
369 Passes 139
72% Pass Accuracy 50%
POST-MATCH Queens Park Rangers vs Portsmouth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portsmouth edged past Queens Park Rangers 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Queens Park Rangers at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Queens Park Rangers had 65% of the ball to Portsmouth's 35%, shots finished 15-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Queens Park Rangers had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Queens Park Rangers and 0.83 for Portsmouth.

What was the final score of Queens Park Rangers vs Portsmouth?

Queens Park Rangers 1-2 Portsmouth in the England - Championship on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Queens Park Rangers vs Portsmouth?

Before kick-off our model rated a Queens Park Rangers win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Queens Park Rangers 49%, draw 27%, Portsmouth 24%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Queens Park Rangers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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