Preston North End 1-0 Coventry — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
33%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.68
Over 2.5
39%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.88
No
58%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
2.73
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.29
6+ Goals
8%
21.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.73 — our 34% vs market 30.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.3
1/2
6%
30.0
1/X
6%
14.2
X/1
12%
5.7
X/2
8%
4.89
X/X
19%
4.23
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
19%
3.47
2/X
5%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.5pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.1pp
33%
Away Win
39%
-5.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+5.8pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-5.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.9pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Preston North End EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Coventry EU Bookmakers 43%
+3% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +1%
1.16/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.35
+2% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -8%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
238 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 75%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.9
19.0 Crosses 18.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Preston North End
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Coventry
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.52 xG 0.99
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
268 Passes 318
70% Pass Accuracy 74%
24 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.02.2024 Coventry Coventry 0-3 HT 0-3 Preston North End Preston North End İNCL
04.11.2023 Preston North End Preston North End 3-2 HT 2-1 Coventry Coventry İNCL
28.02.2023 Preston North End Preston North End 0-0 HT 0-0 Coventry Coventry İNCL
31.08.2022 Coventry Coventry 0-1 HT 0-0 Preston North End Preston North End İNCL
26.02.2022 Coventry Coventry 1-1 HT 0-0 Preston North End Preston North End İNCL
20.10.2021 Preston North End Preston North End 2-1 HT 0-1 Coventry Coventry İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Preston North End
1-0
AWAY Coventry
51% Ball Possession 49%
18 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 9
305 Passes 287
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
POST-MATCH Preston North End vs Coventry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Preston North End squeezed past Coventry 1-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 31% / 33%) promised a tight game; Preston North End found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Preston North End had 51% of the ball to Coventry's 49%, shots finished 18-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Preston North End had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Preston North End and 0.67 for Coventry.

What was the final score of Preston North End vs Coventry?

Preston North End 1-0 Coventry in the England - Championship on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Preston North End vs Coventry?

Before kick-off our model rated a Preston North End win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Preston North End 36%, draw 31%, Coventry 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Preston North End), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Preston North End) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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