Norwich City vs Stoke City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Norwich City v Stoke City — Team-Based Signals
Norwich City vs Stoke City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Stoke City
İNCL
0-0
HT 0-0
Norwich City
İNCL
3-1
HT 1-0
Stoke City
İNCL
4-1
HT 2-0
Stoke City
İNCL
Norwich City 4-2 Stoke City — Actual Match Statistics
Norwich City beat Stoke City 4-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Norwich City as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (57%) came in.
On the day, Norwich City had 60% of the ball to Stoke City's 40%, shots finished 16-7, expected goals 2.87 to 1.66.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Norwich City had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Norwich City and 0.50 for Stoke City.
What was the final score of Norwich City vs Stoke City?
Norwich City 4-2 Stoke City in the England - Championship on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Norwich City vs Stoke City?
Before kick-off our model rated a Norwich City win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Norwich City 53%, draw 20%, Stoke City 27%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Norwich City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.