Brühl 4-1 Lugano II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme, 30 Aug 2025

📅30/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.86
Draw
18%
3.72
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
Over 2.5
66%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.46
No
41%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
14%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
50%
+2.4pp
18%
Draw
24%
-6.2pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.8pp
58%
BTTS Yes
64%
-5.8pp
42%
BTTS No
36%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brühl EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Lugano II EU Bookmakers 29%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -4%
1.85/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.93
-6% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / -5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
355 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brühl
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Lugano II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
25.08.2024 Lugano II Lugano II 1-2 HT 1-2 Brühl Brühl İSV1Y
21.04.2024 Lugano II Lugano II 4-0 HT 2-0 Brühl Brühl İSV1Y
18.10.2023 Brühl Brühl 1-0 HT 0-0 Lugano II Lugano II İSV1Y
POST-MATCH Brühl vs Lugano II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brühl ran out comfortable winners over Lugano II 4-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Brühl as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Brühl had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Brühl and 1.67 for Lugano II.

What was the final score of Brühl vs Lugano II?

Brühl 4-1 Lugano II in the Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brühl vs Lugano II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brühl win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Brühl 52%, draw 18%, Lugano II 30%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brühl), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Brühl) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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