Zürich II 2-3 Bavois — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme, 30 Aug 2025

📅30/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
38%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.49
No
45%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.5pp
20%
Draw
25%
-4.6pp
38%
Away Win
29%
+9.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
63%
-8.3pp
45%
BTTS No
37%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zürich II EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Bavois EU Bookmakers 32%
-11% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -30%
1.69/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.94
-5% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
310 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zürich II
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Bavois
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
09.11.2024 Zürich II Zürich II 3-2 Bavois İSV1Y
20.04.2024 Zürich II Zürich II 0-4 HT 0-2 Bavois İSV1Y
18.10.2023 Bavois 4-1 HT 1-0 Zürich II Zürich II İSV1Y
26.11.2022 Zürich II Zürich II 0-1 HT 0-1 Bavois İSV1Y
09.03.2022 Zürich II Zürich II 2-3 Bavois İSV1Y
26.09.2020 Zürich II Zürich II 0-1 HT 0-0 Bavois İSV1Y
POST-MATCH Zürich II vs Bavois
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bavois nicked a narrow win over Zürich II 3-2 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (41% / 20% / 38%) promised a tight game; Bavois found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bavois led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Zürich II and 2.50 for Bavois.

What was the final score of Zürich II vs Bavois?

Zürich II 2-3 Bavois in the Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zürich II vs Bavois?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zürich II win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Zürich II 41%, draw 20%, Bavois 38%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Zürich II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zürich II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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