Energie Cottbus 1-1 Ingolstadt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 30 Aug 2025

Energie Cottbus
1-1 HT 1-0
Ingolstadt
📅30/08/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2025/2026

Energie Cottbus vs Ingolstadt Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.21
Over 2.5
58%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.53
No
41%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.43
2-3 Goals
39%
1.9
4-5 Goals
27%
2.93
6+ Goals
12%
8.57
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.01
1/2
10%
27.0
1/X
7%
12.25
X/1
13%
5.31
X/2
9%
6.63
X/X
9%
5.33
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
22.8
2/2
16%
4.23
2/X
6%
12.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.8 — our 11% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
43%
-0.4pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.0pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+4.4pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.8pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.8pp
59%
BTTS Yes
61%
-1.8pp
41%
BTTS No
39%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Energie Cottbus v Ingolstadt — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Energie Cottbus EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Ingolstadt EU Bookmakers 34%
-2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -10%
0.81/3.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.47
+4% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
344 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 79%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.8
21.0 Crosses 22.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.8

Energie Cottbus vs Ingolstadt Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Energie Cottbus
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Ingolstadt
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 5
324 Passes 274
76% Pass Accuracy 73%
25 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.05.2025 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 1-4 HT 1-1 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL3
20.12.2024 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 1-1 HT 0-1 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus AL3
11.05.2014 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 2-0 HT 1-0 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus AL2
08.12.2013 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 1-2 HT 1-1 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL2
09.12.2012 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 1-1 HT 1-0 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL2
03.08.2012 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 2-2 HT 2-0 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus AL2

Energie Cottbus 1-1 Ingolstadt — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Energie Cottbus
1-1
AWAY Ingolstadt
45% Ball Possession 55%
16 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Energie Cottbus vs Ingolstadt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Energie Cottbus and Ingolstadt shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Energie Cottbus at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (59%) landed while over 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, Energie Cottbus had 45% of the ball to Ingolstadt's 55%, shots finished 16-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ingolstadt led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Energie Cottbus and 2.00 for Ingolstadt.

What was the final score of Energie Cottbus vs Ingolstadt?

Energie Cottbus 1-1 Ingolstadt in the Germany - 3rd Division on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Energie Cottbus vs Ingolstadt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Energie Cottbus win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Energie Cottbus 43%, draw 22%, Ingolstadt 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Energie Cottbus), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Energie Cottbus) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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