Saarbrücken vs Erzgebirge Aue Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Saarbrücken v Erzgebirge Aue — Team-Based Signals
Saarbrücken vs Erzgebirge Aue Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 0-0
Saarbrücken
AL3
2-1
HT 0-1
Saarbrücken
AL3
0-0
HT 0-0
Erzgebirge Aue
AL3
Saarbrücken 4-1 Erzgebirge Aue — Actual Match Statistics
Saarbrücken ran out comfortable winners over Erzgebirge Aue 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Saarbrücken as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Saarbrücken had 52% of the ball to Erzgebirge Aue's 48%, shots finished 12-15.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Saarbrücken and 0.83 for Erzgebirge Aue.
What was the final score of Saarbrücken vs Erzgebirge Aue?
Saarbrücken 4-1 Erzgebirge Aue in the Germany - 3rd Division on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Saarbrücken vs Erzgebirge Aue?
Before kick-off our model rated a Saarbrücken win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Saarbrücken 47%, draw 25%, Erzgebirge Aue 28%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Saarbrücken), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.