Fortuna Köln 3-2 Fortuna Düsseldorf II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 30 Aug 2025

📅30/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.8
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
30%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.07
Over 2.5
47%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.66
No
53%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
52%
-5.0pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.8pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+5.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.0pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortuna Köln EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortuna Düsseldorf II EU Bookmakers 28%
-5% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +33%
1.74/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/0.90
-3% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +89%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
265 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortuna Köln
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Fortuna Düsseldorf II
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.04.2025 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln 0-2 HT 0-1 Fortuna Düsseldorf II Fortuna Düsseldorf II ALMBÖL
02.11.2024 Fortuna Düsseldorf II Fortuna Düsseldorf II 0-1 HT 0-0 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln ALMBÖL
16.03.2024 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln 4-1 HT 3-1 Fortuna Düsseldorf II Fortuna Düsseldorf II ALMBÖL
30.09.2023 Fortuna Düsseldorf II Fortuna Düsseldorf II 1-1 HT 1-1 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln ALMBÖL
15.04.2023 Fortuna Düsseldorf II Fortuna Düsseldorf II 0-0 HT 0-0 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln ALMBÖL
23.10.2022 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln 1-4 HT 0-2 Fortuna Düsseldorf II Fortuna Düsseldorf II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Fortuna Köln vs Fortuna Düsseldorf II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortuna Köln edged past Fortuna Düsseldorf II 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Fortuna Köln as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Fortuna Köln and 1.33 for Fortuna Düsseldorf II.

What was the final score of Fortuna Köln vs Fortuna Düsseldorf II?

Fortuna Köln 3-2 Fortuna Düsseldorf II in the Germany - Regional League on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortuna Köln vs Fortuna Düsseldorf II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fortuna Köln win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Fortuna Köln 47%, draw 23%, Fortuna Düsseldorf II 30%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fortuna Köln) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fortuna Köln) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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