Homburg vs Astoria Walldorf Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Homburg v Astoria Walldorf — Team-Based Signals
Homburg vs Astoria Walldorf Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
5-0
HT 3-0
Astoria Walldorf
ALMBÖL
1-1
HT 0-0
Homburg
ALMBÖL
4-0
HT 1-0
Astoria Walldorf
ALMBÖL
Astoria Walldorf saw off Homburg 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
This one beat our numbers. Homburg carried 64% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Homburg had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Homburg and 0.67 for Astoria Walldorf.
What was the final score of Homburg vs Astoria Walldorf?
Homburg 1-3 Astoria Walldorf in the Germany - Regional League on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Homburg vs Astoria Walldorf?
Before kick-off our model rated a Homburg win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Homburg 64%, draw 14%, Astoria Walldorf 22%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Homburg) went the other way.