Launceston City 3-1 Glenorchy Knights — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 30 Aug 2025

📅30/08/2025 · 🕒09:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.57
Draw
14%
4.34
Away
30%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
28%
Over 2.5
72%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.38
No
50%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
27%
4-5 Goals
43%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
11%
X/X
4%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
59%
-3.3pp
14%
Draw
20%
-6.1pp
30%
Away Win
21%
+9.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
68%
-18.1pp
50%
BTTS No
32%
+18.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Launceston City EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Glenorchy Knights EU Bookmakers 24%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
2.75/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/2.41
+18% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
375 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Launceston City
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Glenorchy Knights
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 7
12.07.2025 Glenorchy Knights Glenorchy Knights 1-6 Launceston City Launceston City AVNPL
03.05.2025 Glenorchy Knights Glenorchy Knights 1-5 Launceston City Launceston City AVNPL
03.08.2024 Glenorchy Knights Glenorchy Knights 5-2 Launceston City Launceston City AVNPL
01.06.2024 Launceston City Launceston City 1-1 Glenorchy Knights Glenorchy Knights AVNPL
23.03.2024 Launceston City Launceston City 0-4 Glenorchy Knights Glenorchy Knights AVNPL
05.08.2023 Launceston City Launceston City 2-1 HT 1-1 Glenorchy Knights Glenorchy Knights AVNPL
POST-MATCH Launceston City vs Glenorchy Knights
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Launceston City got the better of Glenorchy Knights 3-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Launceston City as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (72%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Launceston City had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Launceston City and 2.17 for Glenorchy Knights.

What was the final score of Launceston City vs Glenorchy Knights?

Launceston City 3-1 Glenorchy Knights in the Australia - National Premier League on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Launceston City vs Glenorchy Knights?

Before kick-off our model rated a Launceston City win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Launceston City 56%, draw 14%, Glenorchy Knights 30%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Launceston City), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Launceston City) ✓ Over 2.5
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