Croydon Kings 1-1 Adelaide City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 30 Aug 2025

📅30/08/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.47
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
30%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.15
Over 2.5
51%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.55
No
45%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
3.93
2-3 Goals
33%
1.8
4-5 Goals
31%
2.85
6+ Goals
7%
8.64
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
37%
+9.3pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.3pp
29%
Away Win
36%
-7.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
43%
+6.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
57%
-6.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.2pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Croydon Kings EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Adelaide City EU Bookmakers 40%
+19% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
1.79/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.64
+16% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / -3%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
252 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Croydon Kings
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Adelaide City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
42% Ball Possession 58%
15 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.07.2025 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings 2-2 HT 0-0 Adelaide City Adelaide City AVNPL
25.04.2025 Adelaide City Adelaide City 2-1 HT 1-0 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings AVNPL
27.07.2024 Adelaide City Adelaide City 4-0 HT 2-0 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings AVNPL
04.05.2024 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings 1-0 HT 1-0 Adelaide City Adelaide City AVNPL
11.08.2023 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings 1-0 HT 0-0 Adelaide City Adelaide City AVNPL
06.05.2023 Adelaide City Adelaide City 1-1 HT 1-1 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings AVNPL
POST-MATCH Croydon Kings vs Adelaide City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Croydon Kings and Adelaide City shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Croydon Kings at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Croydon Kings and 1.50 for Adelaide City.

What was the final score of Croydon Kings vs Adelaide City?

Croydon Kings 1-1 Adelaide City in the Australia - National Premier League on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Croydon Kings vs Adelaide City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Croydon Kings win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Croydon Kings 46%, draw 24%, Adelaide City 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Croydon Kings), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Croydon Kings) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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