Nantes 1-0 Auxerre — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 30 Aug 2025

Nantes
1 - 0 HT 1 - 0
Auxerre
📅30/08/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2025/2026

Nantes vs Auxerre Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.32
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
31%
2.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.8
Over
45%
1.94
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.94
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2.87
2-3
48%
1.73
4-5
19%
3.73
6+
4%
16.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.53
1/2
2%
31.0
1/X
5%
12.75
X/1
14%
5.34
X/2
12%
5.93
X/X
21%
4.26
2/1
3%
28.5
2/2
17%
4.16
2/X
5%
12.95
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.

Nantes v Auxerre — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Nantes The Market 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Auxerre The Market 37%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.29 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.06
1.12 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.23
Average Attack Strength Average
Weak Defense Strength Weak
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
343 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 77%
24 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20
23 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2

Nantes vs Auxerre Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nantes
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Auxerre
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.02 xG 1.25
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
374 Passes 325
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
25 Box Touches 16
26 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.05.2025 Auxerre Auxerre 1-1 HT 1-0 Nantes Nantes FR1
25.08.2024 Nantes Nantes 2-0 HT 1-0 Auxerre Auxerre FR1
16.04.2023 Auxerre Auxerre 2-1 HT 2-0 Nantes Nantes FR1
01.01.2023 Nantes Nantes 1-0 HT 0-0 Auxerre Auxerre FR1
23.01.2018 Nantes Nantes 3-4 HT 1-3 Auxerre Auxerre FRK
17.12.2013 Nantes Nantes 1-0 HT 0-0 Auxerre Auxerre FRLK

Nantes 1-0 Auxerre — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nantes
1 - 0
AWAY Auxerre
0.48 xG 0.68
43% Ball Possession 57%
4 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 9
270 Passes 365
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
6 Box Touches 24
10 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Nantes vs Auxerre
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Nantes edged past Auxerre 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 31% / 31% — and on the day Nantes made the difference. The goals call finished the job: under 2.5 goals (55%) landed.

On the day, Nantes had 43% of the ball to Auxerre's 57%, shots finished 4-14, expected goals 0.48 to 0.68.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nantes had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Nantes and 1.17 for Auxerre.

Nantes vs Auxerre Result & Final Score

Nantes 1 - 0 Auxerre in the France - Ligue 1 on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Nantes vs Auxerre Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Nantes win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Nantes 38%, draw 31%, Auxerre 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nantes), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nantes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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