Toulouse 3-6 PSG — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 30 Aug 2025

Toulouse
3 - 6 HT 1 - 4
PSG
📅30/08/2025 · 🕒22:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2025/2026

Toulouse vs PSG Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
11%
6.41
Draw
16%
4.67
Away Pick
73%
1.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under
38%
2.25
Over
62%
1.57
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.87
Total Goals
0-1
18%
4.59
2-3
42%
1.88
4-5
29%
2.71
6+
11%
7.22
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
12.8
1/2
4%
20.35
1/X
4%
21.05
X/1
4%
15.6
X/2
21%
3.85
X/X
9%
7.34
2/1
1%
34.5
2/2
48%
1.57
2/X
3%
18.3
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.

Toulouse v PSG — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Toulouse The Market 16%
Head to Head
AWAY PSG The Market 76%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
0.72 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 2.62
1.98 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 0.82
Bad Attack Strength Strong
Great Defense Strength Average
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
279 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 476 · 85%
14 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32
13 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2

Toulouse vs PSG Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Toulouse
1W-1D-4L
AWAY PSG
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.12 xG 1.81
31% Ball Possession 69%
13 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
250 Passes 658
79% Pass Accuracy 90%
17 Box Touches 32
12 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
15.02.2025 Toulouse Toulouse 0-1 HT 0-0 PSG PSG FR1
22.11.2024 PSG PSG 3-0 HT 1-0 Toulouse Toulouse FR1
12.05.2024 PSG PSG 1-3 HT 1-1 Toulouse Toulouse FR1
03.01.2024 PSG PSG 2-0 HT 2-0 Toulouse Toulouse FRSK
19.08.2023 Toulouse Toulouse 1-1 HT 0-0 PSG PSG FR1
04.02.2023 PSG PSG 2-1 HT 1-1 Toulouse Toulouse FR1

Toulouse 3-6 PSG — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Toulouse
3 - 6
AWAY PSG
2.23 xG 2.55
24% Ball Possession 76%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 7
206 Passes 805
77% Pass Accuracy 93%
20 Box Touches 32
11 Crosses 3
1 Yellow Cards 0
REVIEW Toulouse vs PSG
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

PSG dismantled Toulouse 6-3 on the road. Half-time: 1-4. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had PSG as the likeliest winner at 73%, and the 6-3 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), and that read landed as well.

By the numbers, Toulouse had 24% of the ball to PSG's 76%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 2.23 to 2.55.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSG led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Toulouse and 1.67 for PSG.

Toulouse vs PSG Result & Final Score

Toulouse 3 - 6 PSG in the France - Ligue 1 on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Toulouse vs PSG Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an PSG win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split Toulouse 11%, draw 16%, PSG 73%. The final score 3-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSG), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (PSG) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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