Consadole Sapporo 1-0 Omiya Ardija — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 30 Aug 2025

📅30/08/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
41%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.63
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
2.99
6+ Goals
8%
9.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.63 — our 29% vs market 20.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.4pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.9pp
41%
Away Win
40%
+0.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.2pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Consadole Sapporo EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Omiya Ardija EU Bookmakers 45%
+8% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -12%
1.48/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/0.97
+25% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
362 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.3 Crosses 16.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Consadole Sapporo
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Omiya Ardija
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
304 Passes 327
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
25.04.2025 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija 1-0 HT 0-0 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JAP2
08.07.2017 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija 2-2 HT 0-0 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JAP
06.05.2017 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 1-0 HT 0-0 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija JAP
26.04.2017 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 1-1 HT 1-0 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija JLK
08.07.2015 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 2-3 HT 2-1 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija JAP2
29.03.2015 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija 1-1 HT 1-1 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Consadole Sapporo
1-0
AWAY Omiya Ardija
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
282 Passes 276
78% Pass Accuracy 73%
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Consadole Sapporo vs Omiya Ardija
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Consadole Sapporo edged past Omiya Ardija 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Omiya Ardija at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Consadole Sapporo had 49% of the ball to Omiya Ardija's 51%, shots finished 15-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Omiya Ardija led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Consadole Sapporo and 1.33 for Omiya Ardija.

What was the final score of Consadole Sapporo vs Omiya Ardija?

Consadole Sapporo 1-0 Omiya Ardija in the Japan - J2 League on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Consadole Sapporo vs Omiya Ardija?

Before kick-off our model rated an Omiya Ardija win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Consadole Sapporo 35%, draw 24%, Omiya Ardija 41%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Omiya Ardija) ✗ BTTS Yes
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